Category Archives: demography

The End of the Parsis

Dean Nelson reports in the Daily Telegraph that India’s Parsi population is dying out.

Their numbers have declined from just under 115,000 in 1941 to 69,601 in 2001 – the last fully published census. The numbers are believed to have declined further since then. In Mumbai, the heart of India’s Parsi community, there are now only between 40,000 and 45,000.

It’s because they are wealthy, marry late, the women have careers, and few children.

Parsis are descended from the ancient Zoroastrians, who left Persia a millennium ago to escape Muslim persecution. It would be a great shame if they dwindled away.

What is to be done? The Indian government is giving $250,000 to fertility clinics – which hardly seems decisive. More effective might be the Social Democratic option: generous maternity leave and good daycare facilities. (Though in India they probably have plentiful servants.) That’s the sort of thing that makes it easier for professional women to have more children.

Another thing: the most famous Parsi? Probably Freddy Mercury.


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Can Uganda Handle 100 Million Population?

Uganda’s population is on track to more than triple by 2060 to 113 million, thanks to a 3% growth rate. (That’s up from 6.8 million at independence.)

But the President is not worried, reports the BBC.

Uganda’s President Yoweri Museveni would also like to have more Ugandans as he believes a large population can be a boost for the economy.
“The UK is the same size as Uganda. It has a population of 60-something million now. And they’re all living comfortably,” he said at a presidential lecture to mark 50 years of Uganda’s independence.
“And they don’t have the resources of Uganda. Uganda has got more resources than all those countries we’re talking about.”

An official with the UN is not worried either.

Florence Mpabulungi Tagoola from the UN Population Fund (UNFPA) in Uganda says the most important thing is to make sure the large population is skilled enough to contribute to the country’s economy and future development.

So, no worries all round! Obviously a tripling of the population growth in a poor country is no problem!

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Pandemics Recurring

Things had a habit of appearing and reappearing. For instance, there were three big waves of disease in the classical age:
1-in antiquity, when plagues are recorded in Rome and China in the 100s-300sAD,
2-in the 1300s with the bubonic plague
3-the 1500s and 1600s as Afro-Eurasian diseases invaded the Americas.
All seem due to the diseases of one region being transmitted to the people of another region who lacked immunity.

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How Many UK Births are to Foreign Mothers?

25% in 2011. The Daily Mail has a graph charting the upward rise since the 90s:
The main countries are:

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Also at Global Trends 2030, a piece on the ethnic future of Western Europe by Eric Kaufmann.
1-Immigration will not compensate for an ageing population:

immigrants’ age and their family sizes converge to host levels, thus the number of immigrants required to maintain a given age structure multiplies exponentially

2-Total immigration will probably remain at about 1 million per year.
3-By 2050 native-born white share of Europe’s population is projected to decline from 95 to about 85 percent. About half the minority growth in Europe will be Muslim. England is likely to be 25% minority in 2050. In Sweden Muslims will comprise nearly 14% of the population in 2030. Muslims will double in number in most countries over the next twenty years.

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